April 5th, 2011
A little housekeeping on unrelated items.
* Remember our question about betting on WrestleMania? Deadspin has the answers in a piece so thorough and well-reported that you’d be surprised to find it even in the sports section of a big-city daily. It’s WSJ levels of good.
* Michael Kinsley has a retroactive quasi-defense of Microsoft. He opens with Microsoft’s history of DC lobbying, painting them as charmingly naive because Bill Gates didn’t think he needed to lobby the government. He writes:
For many years before the lawsuit, Microsoft had virtually no Washington “presence.” It had a large office in the suburbs, mainly concerned with selling software to the government. Bill Gates resisted the notion that a software company needed to hire a lot of lobbyists and lawyers. He didn’t want anything special from the government, except the freedom to build and sell software. If the government would leave him alone, he would leave the government alone.
At first this was regarded (at least in Washington) as naive. Grown-up companies hire lobbyists. What’s this guy’s problem? Then it was regarded as foolish. This was not a game. There were big issues at stake. Next it came to be seen as arrogant: Who the hell does Microsoft think it is? Does it think it’s too good to do what every other company of its size in the world is doing?
Ultimately, there even was a feeling that, in refusing to play the Washington game, Microsoft was being downright unpatriotic. Look, buddy, there is an American way of doing things, and that American way includes hiring lobbyists, paying lawyers vast sums by the hour, throwing lavish parties for politicians, aides, journalists, and so on. So get with the program.
So that’s what Microsoft did. It moved its government affairs office out of distant Chevy Chase, Md., and into the downtown K Street corridor.
Who is it exactly who “had this feeling” that Microsoft was being “unpatriotic” by not playing the lobbying game? Kinsley was closer to the situation than most of us onlookers, but I don’t ever recall hearing anything even remotely like that complaint made, even once–let alone often enough to claim that it represented some form of the conventional wisdom. And Chevy Chase is “distant” from K Street? It might be six miles. It’s not like MSOFT was headquartered in Columbia, MD. Makes you wonder what angle Kinsley is playing this time–is he trying to hit a bank-shot knock against a past employer, or sucking up to a potential new one?
* David “Spengler” Goldman has an interesting piece about the GOP 2012 field. He opens with the following:
Never before in American politics have so few offered so little to so many. I refer to the prospective Republican candidates for next year’s presidential elections, not a single one of whom elicits a response that might be mistaken for enthusiasm from the voters, the pundits, or the party’s elder statesmen.
There are a couple of generic governor types like Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota or Mitch Daniels of Indiana, and a long list of has-beens and never was’s. But the Republicans despair of finding the man or woman who can define an alternative to a weak and waffling President Barack Obama.
I’m not sure this is quite right, either. The problem for Republicans–to the extent that it is a “problem,” which I kind of doubt–is that the candidates excite different parts of the base. Have you seen the reaction parts of the base have for Sarah Palin? There’s a segment of the Tea Party that goes nuts for Newt. It would not surprise me if Mike Huckabee was really blowing the skirts up on Christian cultural conservatives. And while Goldman dismisses Mitch Daniels as a “generic governor type,” among DC elites, people are swooning over him like he’s the second-coming of Scoop Jackson.
Now, none of these candidates has wide appeal, yet. But they each have appeal which seems pretty deep, considering that most of them haven’t even declared yet. What’s more, the eventual Republican nominee doesn’t have to worry about exciting the base, because Barack Hussein Obama will do that more effectively than any GOP candidate possibly could.
Finally, the extent to which a Republican will need to make a clear case in 2012 seems unclear. There are a handful of candidates who probably can’t unseat Obama no matter what. But assuming one of them doesn’t take the nomination, how much difference would it make for Candidate X to be running as opposed to Candidate Y if unemployment is 9 percent, gas costs $3.50, the housing sector is still dead, and America is still floundering abroad?
* Last, Galley Friend A.W. sends a link to this epic Susannah Breslin piece on the porn industry. How good is it? So good that you might walk away rethinking the welfare state:
Here, I just give, give, give! And this is a fact!” he shouts, wild-eyed. “We are helping these girls! Anybody that comes into this business, for the most part, is a broken toy.” He leans towards me, earnestly attempting to make himself understood. “We’re giving them a place where they can make money, and get by, so they’re not standing on line in a welfare department. Thank God for people like me!” He bangs the desk.
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I’m not normally squeamish, but that’s a really tough read.
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I’ve heard before that Microsoft didn’t play the lobbying game, so that’s why the Clinton Administration went after them on antitrust, so maybe it’s true.
But here’s what I don’t get: In the movie Casino Jack, Kevin Spacey plays out of control lobbyist Jack Abramoff. And in the first half of the movie, Abramoff works in DC for a big law and lobbying firm called Preston Ellis Gates. And that “Gates” refers to Bill Gates Sr.
So, I’m a little skeptical about the notion that Bill Gates Jr. was just a poor rube from the sticks who didn’t know about the importance of lobbying in Washington.
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One more thing about the elections: Unless Hillary decides to move against the king, Obama won’t have to face something that was arguably as destructive to Carter’s campaign as his inept record: Ted Kennedy’s run at him in the primaries.
Galley Friend J.E. April 5, 2011 at 4:06 pm
Re the upcoming election: If history is an accurate predictor, be afraid, be very afraid. In the last 120 years, this country has been in the mood for and in need of a makeover four significant times: in the mid 1890s (following the “Panic of ’93”), in 1920, following WW1; at the beginning of the Depression; and in 1980. McKinley, in 1896, wasn’t running against an incumbent, but he had the advantage of having been governor of one of the most populous states, Ohio. In ’20, Harding had been lt. gov of Ohio and one of its senators; nor did he run against an incumbent. In ’32, FDR, who’d just been governor of *the* most populous state and had already appeared 12 years before as his party’s veep nominee, was running against an incumbent who got the entire blame for the country’s woes. A ferret would’ve beat Hoover. Then, in 1980, incumbent Carter’s opponent was a guy who’d been popular governor of *the* most populous state, had stage and camera presence (as well as charisma) even JFK admired, and most importantly a coherent philosophy honed over decades that he could articulate in a way which made mincemeat of debate opponents. Oh, and then there was his amazing affability. Right now, only Paul Ryan can begin to approach a minority of those attributes. He’s no Reagan, at least not yet, and Obama’s not Carter.