January 24th, 2012
Let’s just say, for the sake of argument, that Mitt Romney is not elected president in 2012–either because he loses the nomination or wins the nomination, but loses to President Obama. What would you guess the odds are of him putting himself forward again in 2016? Here’s Galley Reader D.R. laying down an early line:
Odds he runs again if Obama is the lame-duck incumbent? 2:1
Odds he takes on an incumbent President Gingrich for the nomination (while labeling him a “career politician who’s spent the last 4 years in Washington”)? Even money.
Here is what I would tell Mitt were he to try this, and were I a “party elder” (whatever that may be in the current GOP?):
Hey Mitt, so we hear you’re thinking about running again. Even heard you were willing to put up all of your $250m to do it. Look, we backed you in ’12 because we believed you could win. Guess what, you can’t, you’re a loser, nobody likes you. People flirted with a black republican pizza salesman for a brief time instead of you. Seriously, nobody likes you. Seriously, I don’t even think you like you. So if you decide to run again, we’re gonna have a problem. Not only will we throw every single candidate at you this time, we’re gonna talk about your religion. That’s right motherf*cker, we’re gonna talk some LDS. You know that thing that nobody is supposed to talk about even though we’re all a little creeped out about some of what you people believe? Yeah, we’re gonna talk about some of that stuff. (all of you right now who support romney while holding your nose know exactly what I’m talking about, even if you won’t admit it, even to yourselves. Don’t you dare judge me).
I can assure you Romney is not going to run in 2016 if he does not win in 2012. That will never ever happen.