I’ve got a piece in the Wall Street Journal on the U.N.’s 2010 revision of their global population projections.
Short version: Suddenly the U.N. thinks fertility decline isn’t such a big deal and that most population contraction won’t happen. That’s because they assume the fertility trends of all nations will follow the pattern of Scandinavia.

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Secret for anyone who gets the “locked” version of the piece: Go to Google, type in “Wall Street Journal Jonathan Last UN” and it will bring you to the whole piece. If you go in through Google you get the “article free pass.”